Thursday, January 19, 2006

Skip to the U (of Cincinnati)?

As the Skip Prosser-to-Cincinnati rumors have intensified from internet gossip to mainstream scuttlebutt, one person has been oddly silent about the whole affair: Skip Prosser.
The Wake Forest coach, in a unique position to confirm or deny the tale of his impending departure from Winston-Salem, has yet to comment on the situation, a curious decision that leaves his true intentions open for questioning.
Earlier this week I supported Peyton Manning's criticism of his offensive line because I thought he told the truth. Did people expect him to lie, I asked? But in Prosser's case he should lie. It's a need-to-lie situation, even if he's signed a pact with the Bearcats in blood. Prosser is still the coach at Wake Forest and is under contract for seven more seasons. More importantly, his team is in the midst of a critical ACC-stretch that will determine whether they make their sixth-straight NCAA Tournament appearance. The last thing the Deacs need is the uncertainty about their coaches future distracting them from their season.
Prosser's silence on the subject also makes recruiting more difficult. For all his faults as a coach, and there are many, Prosser is a top-notch recruiter who has scored commitment-coups by signing All-American players from North Carolina; players who, in the past, would have gone to Chapel Hill or Durham. But how effective will Prosser's sales pitch be to prospective players with these rumors floating overhead? It's one thing for a recruit to hear Prosser claim his allegiance to Wake Forest in a living room. Coaches would guarantee their first-born child to get a letter of intent, so his promises are unlikely to carry much weight during a visit. If he made a statement in a press conference that he intends to honor his contract at Wake Forest, however, it would send a message to the current players and recruits that Prosser is devoted to the Demon Deacons. Even if Prosser plans on bolting, this is a statement he has to make. Some might criticize him if he vows to stay and then leaves in April, but he has to act in the best interest of his current team right now, not his future one.
If Prosser does go, the question becomes, does his departure hurt or benefit the Wake Forest basketball program?
It's no secret I loathe Skip Prosser the coach. He had the most talented team in the country last year (yes, more talented than eventual national champs North Carolina) but couldn't even make it to the second weekend of the Tournament. Two years before, with ACC Player of the Year Josh Howard, Wake won the ACC regular season title but also failed to advance to the Sweet 16. Skip's teams have no defensive strategy and run their offense at an undisciplined, frenetic pace that works with star players (Chris Paul, Josh Howard) but suffers when the Trent Strickland's of the world have to play major minutes.
When teams force Wake into playing a half-court game the team struggles mightily, often holding the ball for twenty seconds before a guard tries (and inevitably fails) to take a defender off the dribble. Whereas great coaches like Mike Krzyzewski and Roy Williams can adapt their systems to their available talent, Prosser forces his talent into his system, even with players who clearly don't fit.
One of my main gripes with Skip the coach was on display last night in Wake's game against Georgia Tech. Up 27 points midway through the second-half, the Deacs began slowing the game down, a direct departure from the up-tempo play that got them ahead by such a large margin. Without a true point guard or any real offensive sets, turnovers and poor shots followed. In a seven-minute span, GT cut the lead to eight and had a chance to get it to five before Wake took back over the game, eventually winning by 15.
This type of conservative play has gotten the Deacs in trouble before (last year against West Virginia in the NCAA Tournament being the prime example), but Prosser has yet to alter his approach. Wake Forest thrives on pushing the ball; they are rendered ineffective any other way. A good coach would see this. Skip Prosser does not.
He's not all bad though. When Dave Odom brought the Demon Deacons back to national prominence after a twenty-year downturn, he did so largely with unheralded recruits like Tim Duncan, Randolph Childress and Josh Howard (McDonald's All-American Rodney Rogers was an exception). Recruiting was tough for Odom and he left Winston-Salem, in part, because he was upset with his inability to compete with Duke and UNC for blue chippers.
But Prosser proved that Wake could compete with, and even best, their Tobacco Road rivals. Eric Williams, Justin Gray and, most importantly, Chris Paul, were McDonald's All-American's from North Carolina and each was recruited heavily by the state's basketball powers. UNC, in particular, made a huge push to sign Gray. When he and Williams both signed with Prosser it sent shockwaves through the basketball community. A Prosser departure would cause the Deacs recruiting to take an immediate hit. If a good recruiter and coach is hired to fill his place, there's no reason to think it would stay that way though.
So who would replace Prosser at Wake Forest? The hot rumor has a three-way trade, of sorts, going down. Prosser would go to Cincinnati to fill the vacancy left by Bob Huggins. Huggins would, in turn, go to West Virginia to take over for John Beilein, thus giving the Mountaineers a marquee name and one capable of driving the team's graduation rate into the single digits. Beilein would then fill-out the menage-a-trois and end up in Winston-Salem. \
I'm on the fence with Beilein. Either his team overachieved last season in their run to the Elite Eight (they upset Prosser and Wake Forest in triple-OT along the way) or they underachieved all season (WVU was a #10 seed, after all). I also don't see Wake looking to a guy from West Virginia either; they tend to grab coaches from ACC schools or small, private universities like their own. Who knows how real this rumor is, but it sounds way too convenient to be anything more than a fantasy.
I hope Skip Prosser takes the job at Cincinnati and Wake Forest hires a young, talented assistant from somewhere in the ACC. It's time for a new coach to come in and teach players how to play basketball as a team, something Wake has never done under Skip. He's been great for the university and I'll wish him the best wherever he goes, but the Deacs have maxed out under his tutelage.

- You know how they say a picture is worth a thousand words? This one (below) is worth a thousand viewings of Funny Girl. Paulus and Dockery's rear-embrace made the back page of today's Washington Post, leading me to believe sports editor Emilio Ruiz-Garcia has the same feelings about the... preferences... of Duke players as I do.

9 comments:

Gibbs 316 said...

As a HUGE skins fan and general DC sports fan, I almost always agree with your opinions and make sure to read your post each day (helps the work day fly by)...I sure hope this is one time you are wrong b/c as a WVU alumn, I hate the thought of losing Beilein.

Here are a few reasons I think he will stay right where he is:

1. Wake already had their shot at getting Beilein to coach their BB team, he was the 2nd choice if they were not able to get Prosser. That was a year before WVU hired him.

2. WVU extended Beilein’s contract through 2012 after that elite 8 run last season and Beilein has been quoted as saying that he plans to stay there a long time b/c he does not have to answer to any alumni pressure or scrutiny that the so called bigger programs would put on him. For example: Beilein kicked WVU’s best player, Jonathan Hagett (ranked in the top 10 of his national recruiting class), off the team b/c he wouldn’t take the time to learn his system or be a team player. I doubt at a school like Wake he could have done that without it being a major controversy.

3. Huggins was already offered the job to coach for WVU, he declined.

4. Beilein is a God in West Virginia (sort of like Gibbs in DC), even if the team doesn’t perform as well starting next year (which it wont with 80% of their starters graduating…yes, graduating, not just ending their final year of eligibility), no one will care or expect him to keep WVU in the top 25 annually. That would certainly be required if he went to Wake or any other big basketball school for that matter. I don’t think Beilein wants that headache.

5. Beilein would rather have a good player that is smart than a great athlete that he cant teach. Not saying that is what he would be inheriting at Wake but am willing to bet that they would struggle to learn his playbook initially. I also bet that during that initial step backwards, all you Wake fans would be calling for his firing before he even completes 2 seasons.

6. I guess everyone has their price and Wake could steal him away from WVU but I sure hope you are wrong. There is nothing better than watching a WVU press conference after a big basketball game where the players can actually speak intelligently and about something other than telling us how great they are.

craig said...

I'd like to see Wake get Frank Johnson. He's been a head coach in the NBA and was fired too quickly by the Suns. He's young, but knows enough about the game to be an great coach. The fact that he played and coached in the NBA is a huge recruiting advantage given that he'll know how to prepare players for the pros.

Best of all - he's a Wake grad. Alumni are much less likely to leave when a better opportunity pops up and are more devoted to building a long-term program.

Hire Rusty LaRue and Randolph Childress as assistants and Wake's coaching staff would be set for good.

Gibbs 3:16 said...

WVU was a #7 seed in the NCAA tourney last year

Pittsnogle didnt even become a starter until mid feb last season and that is probably why they did not win more games during the season.

WVU is proving their elite 8 run last year was no fluke with their play this season.

WE WANT DUKE!!!!! (actually, I am nervous about UCLA this weekend)

Anonymous said...

Dude,

I enjoy your blog, but Justin Gray was NOT a McDonald's All-American. Look it up at
http://www.mcdonalds.com/usa/sports/mcdallamericans/basketball/boys_team/alumni.html

azg said...

Unrelated but i think this is funny: http://www.onepeat.com/

craig said...

Had Justin Gray signed at UNC he would have been a McDonald's All-American though.

Anonymous said...

Craig,

Then why was E. Williams a McDonald's All-American that same year as a 3-star and 4-star recruit in most recruiting magazines? And Chris Paul the following year? Not buying that argument. And even if true, that doesn't make Gray a McDonald's All-American.

craig said...

Paul was the consensus top point guard in the country, so there wasn't any doubt. I'm not saying that because a player signed with Wake means he's not going to be a McD AA, but if someone signs with Duke or UNC their chances go way up. Gray might not have been if he went to UNC, but it would have been much more likely.

Obviously many of Duke/UNC recruits deserve the AA status, but at the same time, many recruits that sign at either of those schools wouldn't be an AA if they went elsewhere.

Montecore the Tiger said...

As a Wake alumnus, I too hope Skip goes to Cincinnatti. Getting Chris Paul was a huge mistake.